We address Clear Air Turbulence events which are not identified by the current CAT prediction formulation and commercial products in an effort to reduce damage and injury encountered during long-range commercial flights over oceanic areas. Such events are not uncommon, and occur in areas that are free of clouds, are not located near jet stream/upper frontal shear zones associated with the Ellrod-Knox diagnostic index, and are at large distances from possible "near-cloud" turbulence associated with convective storms. A Transported Turbulence Product (TTP) is proposed which follows the forensic analysis procedures used to evaluate potential causes for such encounters during CAT incident investigations. Should our proposed method prove viable, dispatchers will be able to warn pilots prior to entry into high probability areas for such Transported Turbulence. The timely warnings will allow material and personnel in the cabin to be secured during transit.
