Phase II Amount
$1,371,992
ORINCON's Fusion-Generated Target Discrimination effort will develop innovative algorithms for Project Hercules and the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) that address complex NMD technological hurdles in the areas of discrimination, tracking, and decision support. Proven multiple-hypothesis fusion and extended Kalman filter algorithms provide super-resolution of target cloud objects by removing multiple-sensor pointing error biases. Elimination of these systematic pointing errors enables subsequent development of feature phenomenology algorithms to identify individual objects within the target cloud. Feature phenomenology algorithms, operating in real time, measure and extract key features such as object length change, object ballistic extension, and object spin rates. In this way, it is possible to discriminate among warhead(s), decoys, and penetration aids in short detect-to-kill times. To accumulate target cloud evidence, the current Project Hercules decision support architecture delays engagement decisions as long as possible. ORINCON proposes to investigate relaxation methodologies in a temporal Bayes net to develop an architecture to make faster, better engagement decisions. As future elements of the NMD "system of systems," ORINCON's bias error removal, multiple-hypothesis tracking algorithms, target discrimination algorithms, and decision support optimization will offer Project Hercules and the Missile Defense Agency enhanced target discrimination and trajectory prediction. Anticipated Benefits/Commercial Applications: The use of multiple sensors within a multiple-hypothesis tracking systems offers MDA a means of achieving substantial target discrimination and robust tracking capability at a reasonable cost and schedule risk. It would enhance NMD sensing capabilities for expanded Capability-1 ballistic threats and beyond, and greatly improve NMD surveillance (BMC4I) capabilities.
Keywords: Target Discrimination, Multiple-Hypothesis Tracking, Target Object Map, Bias Estimation, Feature Phenomenology, Harmonic Structure Function, Hough Transform, Decision Support Optimization