Intracranial aneurysm (IA) rupture is the primary cause of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, acatastrophic event that carries high rates of mortality (>50%) and permanent disability (>50% among survivors).When an unruptured IA is discovered, clinicians face the difficult decision of whether or not it should be treated.Since rupture rates are low (risk of rupture ~ 0.5-1% per year), while complication risks of intervention can besignificant, it is critical to stratify rupture risk such that the dangerous IAs are treated right away while lessdangerous ones can be periodically monitored. In clinical practice, aneurysm size has been the principal criterionfor treatment, but it is not always reliable. Recently, other clinical metrics, such as the PHASES (Population,Hypertension, Age, Size of IA, Earlier subarachnoid hemorrhage, and Site of IA) score, which use IAcharacteristics and patient demographics, have been developed and validated in attempts to better stratify risk.However, like IA size, such risk metrics can only be accurately assessed after the patient has received digitalsubtraction angiography (DSA), which is invasive, expensive ($5,000-8,500 per scan), and risky for transient orpermanent complications. Furthermore, these metrics lack information about biological differences underlyingIAs that may better discriminate high- vs low-risk cases. A blood-based diagnostic of dangerous IAs wouldenable more informed IA management and could offer a low-cost, non-invasive way to monitor patientsduring watchful waiting or after treatment (between follow-up imaging). Over the past several years, Neurovascular Diagnostics has been developing a blood-based IA diagnosticcalled AneuScreenTM. During development, we found that expression differences of certain genes also stratifiedIA cases by IA size in a "dose-dependent" manner, leading us to hypothesize that patients with high-risk IAshave distinguishable gene expression patterns in their blood. In a successfully completed Phase I SBIR project,we used whole blood transcriptomes from a modestly-sized dataset of IA patients to develop and test machinelearning classifiers of high-risk aneurysm cases (delineated by PHASES score). This model had 88% testingaccuracy, 78% sensitivity, and 95% specificity. Despite these exciting results, further work is needed to translatethis biomarker into a diagnostic test, which is the focus of this Phase II SBIR project. In Aim 1, we will validatethe genes within the IA risk biomarker in a large dataset of previously-collected blood samples that will besubjected to RNA sequencing. In Aim 2, we will standardize the assessment of the biomarker on an establishedclinical platform that utilizes qPCR and capillary electrophoresis for expression readout. The models will be re-trained to perform well using this new output data-type. Lastly, in Aim 3, we will test the developed assay, whichwe call AneuScreenTM+(or AneuScreenTM Plus), in a prospective cohort of n=400 patients with IA and n=200controls. Successful completion of this Phase II will determine if our prototype IA diagnostic can expand itscapabilities and increase its value by stratifying IA risk, in addition to identifying IA.
Public Health Relevance Statement: Narrative
In this Phase II proposal, Neurovascular Diagnostics aims to develop a blood-based RNA expression
diagnostic to assess intracranial aneurysm rupture risk. To do this, we will validate our preliminary expression-
based risk biomarker (successfully developed in Phase I) in a new dataset of sequencing data (n=200),
standardize the assessment of the biomarker on an established clinical testing platform, and then test the
developed, research-use-only assay in a large prospective cohort of 600 patient blood samples collected from 5
centers across the US. Successful completion of this study will produce an aneurysm risk blood test that will
enable more vigilant aneurysm management and low-cost, non-invasive monitoring of patients during watchful
waiting or between follow-up imaging after treatment.
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